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Federal Reserve Board Index

U.S. Industrial Production

1/12 and 12/12 Pressure Graph - June 2006

 

 

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  • A pressure curve graphically displays the business cycles of a data series.  Data above 100 shows growth; data below 100 decline.

 

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  • The 1/12 pressure curve will cycle in advance of the 12/12 pressure curve, and is a leading indicator for the 12/12 pressure curve.

 

  • The 1/12 pressure is the current month production compared to the same month one year earlier.

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  • The 12/12 pressure is the current year production compared to the same period one year earlier.

 

 

  • The montly index of the Industrial Production Index continued to increase during the second quarter to 113.2 in June 2006, a record high.

 

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  • The 1/12 pressure reached the highest level since October 2004 at 104.5 in both May and June.

 

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    The 12/12 pressure has been riding for the past three months to a June level of 103.4.

 

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  • The 12/12 pressure will likely continue to experience growth at the current level during the third quarter.

 

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